Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4570
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4570 · LGA → DAL
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 3:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
LGA is quiet at that time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.