Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4608 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 4608 · SAT → MCO

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 8:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.81 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4608 · SAT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?