Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4890 · AUS → PIT
departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.