Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 489
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 489 · BNA → DAL
departs 3:25 PM CT · arrives 5:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
3pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.