Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4933 · SJC → LGB
departs 6:15 AM PT · arrives 7:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 4%
Fri 10/9 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LGB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
LGB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.