Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 504 LANDED 10:03 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 504 · BNA → CHS

took off 8:04 PM CT · landed 10:03 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

CHS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 504 · BNA → CHS

Odds over time