Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5069
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 5069 · MCI → BNA
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±0 pts
+36 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.