Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 5071 · BNA → DAL
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
5pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.