Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 507 LANDED 10:38 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 507 · BNA → CLE

took off 8:40 PM CT · landed 10:38 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

CLE (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 507 · BNA → CLE

Odds over time