Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 526 · DAL → BNA
departs 1:40 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 37%
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.24 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.