Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 544 LANDED 12:03 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 544 · MDW → FLL

took off 8:33 PM CT · landed 12:03 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 544 · MDW → FLL

Odds over time