Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 57
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 57 · HOU → CRP
departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
79%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.41 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.