Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 5 · DAL → MCI

departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.29 in

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,433 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 5 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?