Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 704 · LAS → SJC
departs 9:00 PM PT · arrives 10:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.