Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 709 LANDED 12:01 AM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 709 · BNA → SAN

took off 10:15 PM CT · landed 12:01 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BNA that day

↑ 10pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

SAN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 709 · BNA → SAN

Odds over time