Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 762 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 762 · BUF → MCO

departs 12:40 PM ET · arrives 3:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BUF that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.70 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 762 · BUF → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?