Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 790
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 790 · BUR → LAS
departs 2:00 PM PT · arrives 3:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.