Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 791 · BUR → LAS
departs 3:40 PM PT · arrives 4:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.