Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 801
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 801 · DAL → MAF
departs 7:40 AM CT · arrives 9:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MAF that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.24 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,140 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.