Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 879
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 879 · BWI → BNA
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 14%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 4%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±1 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.16 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.