Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 931
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 931 · AUS → PNS
departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 3:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.38 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.