Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 945 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 945 · BWI → FLL

departs 8:25 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 945 · BWI → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?