Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 949 LANDED 1:01 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 949 · BWI → AUS

took off 10:53 PM ET · landed 1:01 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ 10pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 949 · BWI → AUS

Odds over time