Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 954 LANDED 1:29 AM ET, ~77 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 954 · BWI → BDL

took off 12:45 AM ET · landed 1:29 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

BDL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 954 · BWI → BDL

Odds over time