Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 963 · SAT → LAS
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip 0.76 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.