Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 970 · BWI → JAX
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.