Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 971
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 971 · BWI → JAX
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.