Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 980
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 980 · BWI → LAX
departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 21%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.