Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3480
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3480 · CMH → EWR
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
11am departures from CMH are usually not late
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.38 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.