Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
YX 3545 · EWR → CMH
departs 5:57 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
−21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −29 pts in 24h
−29 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.