Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3596 · CMH → EWR
departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 23%
Thu 10/8 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.46 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.