Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3632
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3632 · SAV → ORD
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:39 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 857 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
SAV is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SAV (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.12 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 3.8 mi
Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.