Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3675
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3675 · MSN → EWR
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 2:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
MSN usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.