Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3692 · EWR → CMH
departs 8:48 PM ET · arrives 10:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.