Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4348
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 4348 · BGR → LGA
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 33%
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.19 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.