Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4372
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 4372 · LGA → BNA
departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 4:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 23%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.