Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4564
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 4564 · MEM → LGA
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to LGA?
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On time or early
91%
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15–30 min late
2%
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30 min–1 hour late
2%
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1–2 hours late
<1%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.