Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4642 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

YX 4642 · CMH → BOS

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:06 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from CMH are usually not late

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

BOS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4642 · CMH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?