tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4666 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4666 · BOS → BUF

departs 9:21 AM ET · arrives 11:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 3.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BUF?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.