Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 4715 · BOS → MDT
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 10:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to MDT?
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On time or early
53%
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15–30 min late
0%
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30 min–1 hour late
19%
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1–2 hours late
18%
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Over 2 hours late
7%
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Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.