Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 4722 · LGA → CLE
departs 8:29 PM ET · arrives 10:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.