Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 5590 · HHH → LGA
departs 4:14 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 63%
Mon 10/5 37%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
HHH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.