Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 5591 · CHS → LGA
departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.