Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5601
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5601 · CVG → BOS
departs 11:52 AM ET · arrives 2:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.