Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5607
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5607 · PIT → DTW
departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PIT that day
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
10am departures from PIT are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.