Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5620
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5620 · CVG → BOS
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 10:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.62 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.