Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5650 · CMH → JFK
departs 6:15 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 48%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 27%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.40 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.