Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5653 · CMH → BOS
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.