Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5654
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5654 · CMH → BOS
departs 11:11 AM ET · arrives 1:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
11am departures from CMH are usually not late
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.35 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.