Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5678 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

YX 5678 · PIT → BOS

departs 10:59 AM ET · arrives 12:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PIT that day

↑ Fridays in October are usually busier than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from PIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.26 in

BOS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5678 · PIT → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?